FINDING #753 · UNIT ID 1244198371
mikobinbin/2026-world-cup-predictor
2026 FIFA World Cup H2H Match Prediction | Poisson xG + Mystic Factors + Mobile-first | 世界杯H2H对战预测
SURPRISE SCORE
0.00
Score Breakdown
SCORE = SURPRISE × ENGAGEMENT^0.7 × FRESHNESS × VISIBILITY × CONFIDENCE
SURPRISE = WINDOW STARS / DAYS / (AUDIENCE + FLOOR)
61% OF STARS IN ARCHIVE
[BOT] SUSPECTED STAR BOT — SCORE PENALIZED. SIGNATURES:
S2 · NO EXTERNAL ISSUE/PR AUTHORS DESPITE 100+ STARS
S5 · PREDATES WINDOW, YET HALF+ OF ALL ITS STARS LANDED IN IT
S6 · OWNER HAS ALMOST NO FOLLOWERS DESPITE 100+ STARS
S7 · THIS REPO IS ~ALL OF THE OWNER'S STARS
Growth Telemetry
VELOCITY /D
10.80
ACCEL
-0.06
RETENTION
65.1%
PEAK 2026-06-22 · FORK-RETENTION 0.0% · 324 STARS / WINDOW
Author Audience
AUDIENCE
53
FOLLOWERS
0
OWNER ★
530
Engagement Signals
FORKS
15
ISSUE AUTH
0
PR AUTH
0
UNIQUE STARGAZERS 324 / 324 (DIVERSITY 1.00)
Why This Is A Finding
mikobinbin/2026-world-cup-predictor собрал 324 звёзд за окно, тогда как у автора всего 0 подписчиков — эффективная аудитория ≈ 53. Это даёт surprise-индекс 0.12 (звёзды относительно охвата автора, а не в абсолюте). Удержание форков 0.0% и 0 внешних контрибьюторов отделяют реальный инструмент от разовой вспышки. Акселерация отрицательная — внимание остывает после пика.
Related Findings
RANKS ABOVE 26% OF 1013 FINDINGS
METRICS IN CONTEXT
MEDIAN ACROSS ALL 1013 FINDINGS · Δ vs MEDIAN · PERCENTILE = SHARE RANKED BELOW
METRICVALUEMEDIANΔ MEDPERCENTILE
SCORE0.000.00-0.00ABOVE 26%
VELOCITY10.807.20+3.60ABOVE 57%
RETENTION65.1%30.8%+34.3 PPABOVE 93%
FORKS1556-41ABOVE 25%
SURPRISE0.120.03+0.08ABOVE 89%