FINDING #2046 · UNIT ID 45821540
openwrt/openwrt
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SURPRISE SCORE
0.00
Score Breakdown
SCORE = SURPRISE × ENGAGEMENT^0.7 × FRESHNESS × VISIBILITY × CONFIDENCE
SURPRISE = WINDOW STARS / DAYS / (AUDIENCE + FLOOR)
1% OF STARS IN ARCHIVE
Growth Telemetry
VELOCITY /D
2.08
ACCEL
-0.03
RETENTION
1.8%
PEAK 2026-05-04 · FORK-RETENTION 13.0% · 375 STARS / WINDOW
Author Audience
AUDIENCE
27,746
FOLLOWERS
3,636
OWNER ★
44,145
Engagement Signals
FORKS
12,683
ISSUE AUTH
283
PR AUTH
390
UNIQUE STARGAZERS 372 / 375 (DIVERSITY 0.99)
Why This Is A Finding
openwrt/openwrt собрал 375 звёзд за окно, тогда как у автора всего 3,636 подписчиков — эффективная аудитория ≈ 27,746. Это даёт surprise-индекс 0.000075 (звёзды относительно охвата автора, а не в абсолюте). Удержание форков 13.0% и 673 внешних контрибьюторов отделяют реальный инструмент от разовой вспышки. Акселерация отрицательная — внимание остывает после пика.
Related Findings
RANKS ABOVE 21% OF 2593 FINDINGS
METRICS IN CONTEXT
MEDIAN ACROSS ALL 2593 FINDINGS · Δ vs MEDIAN · PERCENTILE = SHARE RANKED BELOW
METRICVALUEMEDIANΔ MEDPERCENTILE
SCORE0.000.00-0.00ABOVE 21%
VELOCITY2.082.88-0.79ABOVE 29%
RETENTION1.8%6.3%-4.5 PPABOVE 10%
FORKS12,6831,166+11,517ABOVE 94%
SURPRISE0.000.00-0.00ABOVE 13%