Github Trends®
751 findingsmedian surprise 0.028window 90 days
UNIT / TREND-MONITOR · REV 2.6
[ 90 days window ]
SOURCE: gharchive
FINDING #483 · UNIT ID 1158096951
refactoringhq/tolaria
Desktop app to manage markdown knowledge bases
[ TYPESCRIPT ][ ORG ][ GITHUB ↗ ]
SURPRISE SCORE
0.00

Score Breakdown

SURPRISE0.0498
ENGAGEMENT0.20
FRESHNESS1.33
SCORE = SURPRISE × ENGAGEMENT^0.7 × FRESHNESS × VISIBILITY × CONFIDENCE
SURPRISE = WINDOW STARS / DAYS / (AUDIENCE + FLOOR)
100% OF STARS IN ARCHIVE
[BOT] SUSPECTED STAR BOT — SCORE PENALIZED. SIGNATURES:
S1b · REPO PREDATES ITS OWNER ACCOUNT (TRANSFERRED / RE-CREATED)
S2 · NO EXTERNAL ISSUE/PR AUTHORS DESPITE 100+ STARS
S5 · PREDATES WINDOW, YET HALF+ OF ALL ITS STARS LANDED IN IT
S7 · THIS REPO IS ~ALL OF THE OWNER'S STARS

Growth Telemetry

VELOCITY /D
206.94
ACCEL
-3.89
RETENTION
10.7%
PEAK 2026-04-24 · FORK-RETENTION 0.0% · 18,625 STARS / WINDOW

Author Audience

AUDIENCE
4,118
FOLLOWERS
176
OWNER ★
18,828

Engagement Signals

FORKS
1,273
ISSUE AUTH
0
PR AUTH
0
UNIQUE STARGAZERS 18,625 / 18,625 (DIVERSITY 1.00)

Why This Is A Finding

refactoringhq/tolaria собрал 18,625 звёзд за окно, тогда как у автора всего 176 подписчиков — эффективная аудитория ≈ 4,118. Это даёт surprise-индекс 0.0498 (звёзды относительно охвата автора, а не в абсолюте). Удержание форков 0.0% и 0 внешних контрибьюторов отделяют реальный инструмент от разовой вспышки. Акселерация отрицательная — внимание остывает после пика.

METRICS IN CONTEXT

MEDIAN ACROSS ALL 751 FINDINGS · Δ vs MEDIAN · PERCENTILE = SHARE RANKED BELOW
METRICVALUEMEDIANΔ MEDPERCENTILE
SCORE0.000.00-0.00ABOVE 36%
VELOCITY206.946.61+200.33ABOVE 99%
RETENTION10.7%22.2%-11.5 PPABOVE 23%
FORKS1,27397+1,176ABOVE 91%
SURPRISE0.050.03+0.02ABOVE 80%