FINDING #284 · UNIT ID 1169524736
YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent
Oracle3: open-source trading engine and MCP server for prediction markets. Finds fee-adjusted no-arbitrage violations across related event contracts and trades them live on Kalshi, Polymarket and Solana, or on paper, under pre-trade risk limits. 13 MCP tools, JSON CLI, agent skills, 600+ tests.
SURPRISE SCORE
0.00
Score Breakdown
SCORE = SURPRISE × ENGAGEMENT^0.7 × FRESHNESS × VISIBILITY × CONFIDENCE
SURPRISE = WINDOW STARS / DAYS / (AUDIENCE + FLOOR)
4% OF STARS IN ARCHIVE
Growth Telemetry
VELOCITY /D
15.00
ACCEL
0.00
RETENTION
0.0%
PEAK 2026-10-10 · FORK-RETENTION 0.0% · 15 STARS / WINDOW
Author Audience
AUDIENCE
85
FOLLOWERS
38
OWNER ★
491
Engagement Signals
FORKS
49
ISSUE AUTH
0
PR AUTH
0
UNIQUE STARGAZERS 15 / 15 (DIVERSITY 1.00)
Why This Is A Finding
YichengYang-Ethan/oracle3-prediction-market-agent собрал 15 звёзд за окно, тогда как у автора всего 38 подписчиков — эффективная аудитория ≈ 85. Это даёт surprise-индекс 0.12 (звёзды относительно охвата автора, а не в абсолюте). Удержание форков 0.0% и 0 внешних контрибьюторов отделяют реальный инструмент от разовой вспышки. Акселерация положительная — рост ещё не выдохся.
Related Findings
RANKS ABOVE 93% OF 3924 FINDINGS
METRICS IN CONTEXT
MEDIAN ACROSS ALL 3924 FINDINGS · Δ vs MEDIAN · PERCENTILE = SHARE RANKED BELOW
METRICVALUEMEDIANΔ MEDPERCENTILE
SCORE0.040.00+0.04ABOVE 93%
VELOCITY15.009.00+6.00ABOVE 67%
RETENTION0.0%0.0%0.0 PPABOVE 0%
FORKS49405-355ABOVE 19%
SURPRISE0.120.01+0.11ABOVE 92%